3 PM Magic Sa PSE (The Magic Gap Up of Stock Prices at Run Off)
“3 PM Magic”
“Bigla na lang bumagsak ang price sa closing”
“Bigla na lang umakyat ang price sa closing”
“woah…gap up sa closing?”
“what??? gap down sa closing?”
Kung nakakakita ka ng ganitong reaction or you yourself ay ganito magreact sa ginagawa ng stock prices sa closing then this blog is for you.
The 3 PM Magic
Walang magic sa 3 PM.
Nagmumukha lang magic kasi marami ang hindi pa naiintindihan how closing prices are being calculated.
Isa ito sa pinakabasic na dapat alam mo as a trader or investor.
Dito nagkakaroon ng malaking edge at lamang ang students namin sa aming mentorships kasi they have all the basic foundations of trading.
At 2:45 PM ay pwede kang magbid ng mataas or mababa kesa sa last price. As long na below ceiling price or floor price ay pwede kang magbid. By 2:50 PM ay nagkakaroon ng closing price.
Lets sa ang last price ni stock A ay 1 peso. You can bid any shares up to 1.49 pesos. You can put a sell order of any shares down to 0.71 peso.
Lahat ng bids at sell orders ay icacalculate yan ng PSE to find a closing price.
Kaya kahit 1 peso ang last price on 2:44 PM ay pwedeng maging 1:20 ang closing price kapag sobrang dami ng bids at a higher price. Gap up mula 2:44 to 2:50 PM.
Tinatawag lang ng iba na “magic.”
Kaya kahit 1 peso ang last price on 2:44 PM ay pwedeng maging 0.80 ang closing price kapag sobrang dami ng sell orders at a lower price. Gap down mula 2:44 to 2:50 PM.
Kahapon?
Kaya kahapon nakita mo na most ng stocks especially bluechips ay bagsak ng malaki all day pero at closing ay konti na lang ang bagsak at yung iba nagclose pa ng green.
Brokers, Instis, Fundies, etc. sometimes use this 2:45-2:50 na time para maipush sa kung anong closing price ang gusto nila by bidding a lot of shares sa taas or by putting a lot of sell orders sa baba.
Sa mga basura stocks na di gaanong liquid ay kaya mo din gawin yan. Kahit pa 1 peso ang last price kapag nagbid ka ng madami sa 1.10 at konti lang ang shares na nasa sell side ay mapupush up mo din ang price.
Its not magic. Its just how closing prices are calculated.
Yan ang simple na paliwanag. May certain conditions at rules ang opening at closing prices calculations if you really want to go deeper and be specific sa areas na yan.
Isa yan sa mga basic foundation na natuturo namin sa aming students na dapat as a trader or investor ay alam mo din.
Umulan Ng Bounce Trades!
Grabe ang ganap kahapon!
Parang nagkaroon ng unlimited bounce opportunities.
Take a look:
Yan ang mga stocks na pasok sa FISHBALL strategy at natrade ng aming students kahapon!
Andami nilang kinita. Waiting pa sila sa exits next week.
Ang sarap kumita sa trading.
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