ANATOMY OF A BREAKOUT: Volume
Juicey na topic ang volume pagdating sa breakout.
May little discussion about that sa TD Facebook group.
Let us talk about volume at yung connection niya sa successful/failed breakout.
Let’s take RCI for example. Kitang-kita mo kay RCI yung mula konti or almost walang volume na ranging lang ang stock then nagkavolume at nagbreakout.
Kay ABA ganun din. Nagkavolume sa breakdown.
So, tama bang sabihin na successful breakout or breakdown needs massive, huge and explosive volume?
Sasagutin natin yan mamaya. For now ay take a look muna ng chart ni ASLAG.
Nagtry magbreakout pero wala gaanong volume kaya unsuccessful ang breakout.
Can we conclude na successful breakout/breakdown needs huge volume at kapag konti ang volume ay magfafail ang breakout/breakdown na yan?
So finish na.
Nasolve na natin ang trading.
Massive volume ang key.
All we need to do is find yung pabreakout na may massive volume at itrade ang mga yun then we will be Billionaires…no..wait…Trillionaires.
Tama ba?
I know popular idea ang explosive volume equals successful breakout but lets really dig deep into it.
Yung idea na kailangan ng explosive volume for successful breakout/breakdowns ay popular sa mga market na walang volume halos.
Sa mga market na highly liquid or normal na may malalaking volume palagi ay hindi totoo yung magkakasuccessful breakout lang kapag may explosive volume kasi normal na may explosive volume na ang market na yun.
Volume is never a predictive indicator.
Aftermath ng successful breakout ang volume at hindi ito telltale na sign.
Lets take CEI for example.
Umakyat at nagkaroon ng massive na volume but still nag-end up as a failed breakout.
Lets take REDC for example.
Walang huge volume pero may successful breakout.
May successful breakdown nga din.
Kung totoo yung “kailangan ng massive/explosive volume para magkabreakout or breakdown” ay dapat wala kang nakikita na mga ganyan.
I know this is not an easy concept tanggapin at magreresist talaga ang braon mo kasi nga most of your trading life ay natatak na sayo na recipe ng breakout ay explosive volume.
Let this blog sink in muna for now at itutuloy natin ang discussion na ito sa next blog.
Connection ng volume at price ang pag-uusapan natin.
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