False Concensus Effect

April 23, 2024 /

Nakakita ka na ba ng mga posts like “Okay pa ba pasukin si (insert stock code)?” or “Hold ba or sell na si (insert stock code)?”

When traders and investors do this ay gumagaan ang feeling nila once madami sumagot in favor sa decision nila.

“Okay pa pasukin yan.”

“Kakapasok ko lang din jan.”

“Hold lang tayo lods.”

This is called false consensus effect.

The false consensus effect is a cognitive bias that leads people to overestimate the extent to which their opinions, beliefs and preferences are shared by others.

Dahil may ibang traders or investors na nag-agree sayo or umayon sa decision mo ay inakala mo na yun na ang tamang decision.

You look at those as some sort of general survey sa buong opinion ng mga traders at investors.

This often lead to mistakes kaya kadalasan ay napapakamot at napapasabi ka na lang na “akala ko marami ang naghohold sa stock na ito pero bakit bumagsak?”

Kaya nagfafail ang karamihan sa mga traders kasi may mga aspect ng trading and investing na hindi nila alam.

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