FORBIDDEN: Wag Mong Basahin Baka Mas Matuto Ka!
Let me take some pages out of my I DARE YOU TO TRADE 2: ELEVATE book and discuss a very basic concept in trading that most newbies still struggle to understand.
Take a look at this:
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/348367511_222265583921052_2956119179899716543_n.png)
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot-2023-06-08-110146.jpg)
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/352601417_2776949652447054_8648280649858758919_n.png)
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/348368238_209628851992472_6183750970040350540_n.png)
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/352843104_1231115754433228_6324092354039117941_n.png)
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/352375682_981031853132472_3612278827251601542_n.png)
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/352851893_654188512714402_2660522097990031979_n.png)
Simple na concept. Kapag ang price at anuman na indicator ay nagkaroon ng different direction, may divergence na nangyayare. Kapag ang direction ng indicator ang nasunod ay regular divergence yun. Kapag ang direction ng price ang nasunod ay hidden divergence yun.
HOW TO USE DIVERGENCE
Para magamit mo ng maigi ang divergence ay kailangan mong intindihin kung ano ba ang nangyayare kapag may divergence.
Lets pick a random indicator para mas maipaliwanag ko ito.
Lets take MACD for example.
Kung trader ka ay dapat may basic understanding ka sa gamit mo na mga indicators.
How they function at ano formulas nila.
I have tons of books about that but just in case wala kang idea ay sisimplehan ko na lang for the sake of driving a point.
Lets talk MACD.
What is MACD?
Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD, or MAC-D) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of a security’s price.
Simplehan natin.
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/7-6.jpg)
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/pcor_2023-06-08_11-35-07.webp)
MACD LINE
MACD LINE. Shorter EMA minus longer EMA equals MACD LINE.
EMA12 – EMA26 = MACD LINE
SAMPLE: EMA12= 2, EMA26= 1.5
2-1.5=0.5
MACD LINE = 0.5
SIGNAL LINE
SIGNAL LINE. 9-day EMA ng MACD LINE.
Take note 9-day EMA ng MACD line ha hindi ng price.
Sample:
Day1 MACD LINE = 0.5
Day2 MACD LINE = 0.4
Day3 MACD LINE = 0.6
Day4 MACD LINE = 0.2
Day5 MACD LINE = 0.3
Day6 MACD LINE = 0.4
Day7 MACD LINE = 0.5
Day8 MACD LINE = 0.7
Day9 MACD LINE = 0.6
Kunin mo ang 9-day EMA niya at yun ang SIGNAL LINE mo sa day 9.
Kunyare na solve na natin ang 9-day EMA ng macd line at ang result is kunyare 0.4
Macd is 0.5 at signal line is 0.4 kunyare.
Now lets understand a divergence.
Remove natin ang ibang line sa MACD at itira lang natin ang mismong MACD line.
Then find a divergence sa price which is represented by a candle.
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/pcor_2023-06-08_11-40-42.webp)
Bullish divergence yan diba?
Alam mo na paano nacalculate si MACD.
EMA12 – EMA26 = MACD LINE
Ano ngayon ang ibig sabihin ng divergence na yan?
Ang ibig sabihin ng divergence na yan since MACD ang gamit mo ay tumaas ng tumaas ang recent na 12-day price compared sa 26-day price.
![](https://blogs.tradersdenph.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/pcor_2023-06-08_11-46-00.webp)
Take a look at the chart above. You might be looking at that candles na bumabagsak but MACD is looking and comparing yung 12 days at 26 days while ikaw ay nasa current ka nakatingin.
Pwedeng pabagsak ang current pero if iisipin mo ang 12 days versus 26 days ay paakyat siya.
Yan ang divergence.
Nagkakaroon ng magkaibang direction ang price at ang indicator dahil ang indicator ay may kakaibang calculation at ang price ay just price.
Paano gamitin ang divergence?
Lets start with paano siya hindi dapat gamitin.
Do not use it to predict or forecast the future.
“May bullish divergence kaya aangat to panigurado.”
Anyone na nakita mong nagsabi niyan ay hindi alam ang sinasabi niya.
Di niya alam ano ang divergence.
Di niya alam ang formula ng indicator na gamit niya.
Magically aangat sa tingin niya kasi my bullish divergence.
Kaya palagi kang makakakita sa trading ng complaints like “Bullish divergence pero bumagsak at nasubog ako” or “may bearish divergence na pero umakyat pa kaya sayang nafake out ako.”
NOOBS!
Divergences have no forecasting powers so never mo itong gamitin para magpredict.
“Yung iba ganun ang gamit maam eh”
Yes kaya di sila kumikita or nag iimprove sa trading.
Use the divergence to confirm or add conviction to your entries and exits.
Yan ang gamit ng divergence.
Nag entry ka kunyare gamit ang startegy mo.
Nakita mo may bullish divergence ang price at ang MACD or RSI.
That gives you more conviction sa entries mo.
Nag entry ka at nakita mo kunyare na may bearish divergence ang price at indicator mo.
Eexit ka na ba? No! Stick ka sa strategy mo pero keep an eye sa exit mo or pwed mong itighten ang exit mo a little.
Lahat ng uri ng divergence can fail as much as it can succeed.
If plan mo gamitin ang divergence ay gamitin mo ito ng tama.
Kung pagpipredict ang gamit ng iba sa kanya ay hayaan mo lang kasi it will only mean more income for you sa trades kasi mali ang pagkakaintindi nila at kapag ikaw na may tamang understanding at siya na me mali ang nagtagpo sa trading ay isa lang ang magiging outcome nun.
You will take his or her money.
Basic pa lang na ideas itong divergence and I did discuss a lot more interesting ideas sa mga books at sa mga tinuturuan ko.
Ako as a trader ay hindi ako magaling pero alam ko ang ginagawa ko and I learned those TA indicators not as lines or shapes but I learned them as formulas.
Read mo ang mga books ko at lahat ng TA mula sa EMA papuntang Elliot Wave ay naipaliwanag ko ng maigi.
Kung ayaw mo bilhin at basahin ay okay lang din kasi that will mean more income from our trades once nagtagpo ang landas natin sa trading.
Talk is cheap so let me show you na lang sa result ng trades.
Walang arte arte. Walang last month or last week.
Today na mismo na profit ang tingnan natin.
Ano ba ngayon? June 8?
Oh heto ang June 8 na profit ko out of my trades.
(Insert raw video here of 2.3M pesos)
2.3 Million pesos yan. Sarili ko na trades yan. Walang reco. Walang hype.
Nakavideo na para di mo isipin na edited although di ka naman pwede mag edit sa global na mga platforms.
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