JFC And ALI Trade Idea (Malupit Na Diskarte Para Sa Malulupit Na Bluechip Stocks)
ALI and JFC are two bluechip stocks na kahit ano pa ang mangyari ay may mga sasalo at bibili talaga.
Most ay chumachamba trade lang sa kanila.
Let me at least give you some structure with my trading ideas.
ALI
Nevermind what ALI as a company is doing right now. Nevermind the 10B buyback. Nevermind na bluechip stock si ALI. Lets just focus on the price.
Nasa 52 week low si ALI ngayon.
Why? No one knows for sure. There can be a hundred reasons. May hundred opinions. May hundred na news
What we know for sure ay gumawa ng bagong 52 week low si ALI.
Will ALI go up? No one knows.
Bottom na ba to ni ALI? No one knows?
Babagsak pa ba si ALI? No one knows.
Ang alam lang natin ay nasa 52 week low siya ngayon.
Lets try and find out kung saan potentiallynpwedeng magpivot ang price ni ALI.
Take note of the word “potentially.”
We plot picot standard.
Ayun sa pivot standard indicator ay may 2 areas na close sa price ni ALI.
14.22 pesos which acts as the next support level at 17.76 pesos which acts as a resistance level.
Titigil ba sa pagbagsak si ALI sa 14.22 dahil support siya? Noooo!
That is not how you should interpret those levels.
Titigila sa pagbagsak si ALI sa kung anong price niya gusto tumigil.
14.22 pesos is just a pivot level.
It has no effect on what ALI will do.
Ang support level na yan ay para sayo. Di yan predictor. Its a level for you to be able to make a trading decision.
Para yung chaotic na nature ng price movements ay magawan mo ng plan.
May support ka sa 14.22 pesos. May resistance ka sa 17.76 pesos.
You go for breakout and breakdown.
Entry sa breakout. Cutloss sa breakdown.
Ang entry mo ay nasa 17.78 at ang cutloss mo ay nasa 14.20 pesos.
Will ALI follow your plan? No.
ALI will do whatever ALI wants to do.
Walang any amount of pivot levels or fibinacci levels or Elliott Wave numbers or moving averages ang pwedeng pumigil sa gusto ni ALI mangyari.
You use TA tools para magkaroon ka ng entries at exits. TA tools ay para sayo. Di niyan hawak ang mangyayari kay ALI.
So you set those brekout entries and breakdown cutloss and wait kung ano ang gagawin ni ALI.
Why wait for 17.76 pesos breakout kung pwede ka naman bumili ngayon at 15.80 pesos?
Well, its simple.
Marami na ang nasunog sa kakabili kay ALI as it is going down.
Mula 20 pesos down to 15 pesos.
Wag mo nang dagdagan ang mga nabiktima ng chamba trades.
Ang gusto mong mangyari na di ginawa ng mga nagchamba trades ay magpakita muna si ALI ng lakas to reverse bago ka sumakay.
If me lakas yan ay mabibreak niya yang 17.76 pesos na yan easy. Then you ride it.
Ang nakikita mo lang kasi sa mga chamba trades ay yung mga nagchamba trades na nakachamba ng bottom at pumaldo as the price reverses.
Di mo nakikita ang mga nagchamba trade mula 26 pesos, 25 pesos, 24 pesos, etc na ngayon ay over 20 or 30 percent na loss nila.
Mga traders na panay “sana di ko muna binili ito kasi babagsak pa pala..”
Yan ang lesson na pwede ko mashare sayo as a veteran trader.
JFC
Kay JFC ay pivot point standard din ang gamitin mo.
Nasa 164 pesos ang entry at nasa 149 pesos ang cutloss price.
I hope these two trade ideas ay nakatulong sayo.
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