They All Lied to You About SCC! (Veteran Trader’s Analysis, Tips and In-depth Dissection of Semirara Mining and Power Corporation)
The whole SCC fiasco started when the government rejected Semirara Mining and Power Corp.’s (SMPC) bid to extend its coal operating contract.
(https://www.philstar.com/business/2026/02/16/2508214/doe-no-coal-contract-extension-semirara)
The Reaction
Gap down yung price ni SCC.
A day after ay bumagsak pa lalo.
May mga news na lumabas that MVP is interested din magbid para sa contract.
(https://business.inquirer.net/574761/mvp-eyes-semirara-coal-mine-contract)
News Trading Sucks
Ang daming doomsday predictions at doomsday news na naglabasan about SCC.
“Si ganito at ganyan na ang makakakuha ng contract ni SCC.”
One thing about news ay it can change anytime without warning.
I remember the gambling and POGO news noon.
One day ay sobrang panget ng pagban sa POGO when it comes to gambling-related stocks.
The next day ay sobrang ganda na news ang pagban sa POGO kasi mawawlan ng competition ang mga “legal” na gambling-related stocks.
News can flip anytime kaya it often do more harm than good sa mga traders na nagtitrade based sa news.
Lets go back kay SCC.
Nawalan sila ng license or at east yung surebol na renewal ng license.
Magkakaroon ng bidding.
May mga sasali sa bidding na malalaking companya.
Bad news after bad news ang lumabas kay SCC but then…
Good News Naman
News flipped.
Yung COO bumili ng SCC shares.
(https://business.inquirer.net/575764/semirara-coo-buys-up-scc-shares)
Instead na competition ay partnership naman daw ngayon ang gusto ni MVP.
(https://insiderph.com/meralco-powergen-weighs-consunji-group-partnership-for-semirara-coal)
Yung price ni SCC ay nagsoar.
Over 41 percent ang inakyat ng SCC mula sa swing low niya.
Good To Bad To Good Again!
SCC went from being a great stock especially sa mga nagdidividend investing to the worst stock of the year dahil sa hindi inallow magrenew ng license to being a great stock again dahil magkakapartnership sila with MVP.
Sino ang talo at sino ang panalo sa nangyari kay SCC?
Most ng nagtrade based sa news ay talo. Either they sold at a loss nung nagkabad news or sumalo sila prematurely nung nagkaroon ng gap down at nagbenta at a loss the day after.
Sino ang mga nanao?
Yung mga marunong mag-ignore ng news at nagtrade objectively.
3 Profit Levels
Our students managed to earn from SCC at least 3 times already.
Una ay nagbounce trade sila using Fishball strategy.
Over 18 percent din ang kinita nila.
Next ay nagMAMA Strategy trade sila.
After that ay nagBABY 2.0 Strategy trade pa sila.
Both strategies ay wala pang exit ngayon.
They ignored the news. They traded SCC objectively.
The Lesson
Kapag tumagal ka sa trading ay marerealize mo na may mga knee-jerk reaction talaga ang price ng mga stocks especially sa bad news.
Some ay nagrerecover agad after an initial na drop. Some ay matagal pa bago magrecover. Some naman ay tuluyan nang nagfree fall at di na nakarecover.
Yung SCC price movement na yan ay di na yan bago.
Happened over 100 times already sa ibang stocks.
Meron pa nga dati na nagkaroon ng shooting/sunog/stampede sa isang casino tapos ang stock ng casino na yun ay biglang bumagsak.
Nagrecover din naman.
Meron naman ngkaroon ng lindol sa batangas at napagbintangan ang BSC na sanhi ng lindol dahil sa drilling. Bumagsak at nagrecover din.
Meron naman news about BLOOM na natalo sila sa kaso. Bumagsak si BLOOm tapos di na nakarecover.
I can give you over 100 examples.
One thing is clear.
If you rely on news ay malaki ang chance na mapapahamak ka.
Kung nais mong tumagal sa trading at magsucceed ay kailangan marunong kang magtune out ng news.
Treat any news as noise.
Sa ngayon ay maganda ang balita kay SCC.
Who knows baka bukas makalawa eh bad news na naman yan.
You need to trade objectively.
Let the price show you what is going on.
Trade the price. Not the news. Not your opinion. Not your assumption.
Ang daming pera sa stock market kapag tama ang trading approach mo.
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