Why It’s Hard to Trade ALLDY? (My In-Depth Analysis Of ALLDY)
If you look at ALLDY ay itong chart ang sasalubong sayo:
At first glance ay parang okay naman siya na chart.
The moment na you zoomed out ay makikita mo na this stock has been going down since 2021.
Let that idea sink in for a moment.
2021 pa ito bumabagsak.
Marami nang nagtry magreversal trade sa kanyan na nag-end up sa losses.
Mahigit isang daan na support na ang binasag ng stock na ito.
If you look closer ay parang nasa range/sideways na siya ngayon.
Parang ang keyword kasi hindi niya pa fully naestablish na sideways na nga siya.
Lets zoom in.
Intindihin natin ano ba ang nangyari at ano ang nangyayari kay ALLDY.
Alam na natin na may mahabang downtrend siya.
Gumawa siya ng bottom. Umakyat. Gumawa ng Swing High. Bumagsak. Tinest niya ang bottom. Naghoold. Naging support ang bottom na yun. Umakyat siya ulit. Nabreak niya ang swing high resistance. Gumawa ng bagong swing high. Bumagsak. Nag gap down. Close to bottom na naman siya ngayon.
Ito ang uri ng price movement na hindi macacapture ng moving average kasi walang established na trend currently. Akala mo mag-uuptrend yun pala hindi.
Ang price movement na ginagawa ni ALLDY ay nakasentro sa bottom.
So lets put some bottom chart patterns.
Una ay double bottom.
Gumawa siya ng failed double bottom na pattern.
Failed in the sense na nabreak nga niya ang neckline (breakout) pero nawalan din siya ng pwersa to continue the move up.
Instead na umakyat ay gumawa pa siya ng third bottom.
Hindi pa clear kung yan na ba ang 3rd bottom or itetest niya ulit ang old na bottom.
Isa lang ang clear kay ALLDY.
Ang entry mo at the very least ay dapat nasa break ng new swing high which coincidentally ay neckline din ng Triple Bottom pattern.
You should never enter this stock prior sa break ng neckline or new swing high.
0.63 pesos ang entry dito sa stock na ito.
Bakit di ka pwedeng umentry prior sa break ng 0.63?
Because of this:
Marami na siyang winasak na port. Wag ka nang dumagdag pa.
I know its very tempting magBOTTOM FISHING or magBARGAIN trade kay ALLDY but don’t.
Hindi ito ang price structure na magandang ibottom fish.
Do not avoid ALLDY. Just be patient. Kapag may lakas talaga ito ay babasagin niyan ang 0.63 na level then and only then ay pwede ka nang pumasok.
Lagyan mo ng 5% or 7% cutloss mula 0.63 mo na entry depende sa loss na kaya mong itake.
Yan ang analysis ko at trade idea kay ALLDY for now.
I don’t care sa news about Villars. Price lang ang itrade natin.
Walang bias. Walang chismis. Walang news.
Tamang technical trade lang.
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